Philadelphia Phillies by 2
Before we get into it, remember folks, the game is taking place at Truist Park in Atlanta, a stadium that's not exceptionally generous to either batters or pitchers. Now let's break down this Philly-Atlanta match.
On the mound for Philly, we've got Mick Abel, who's holding a respectable 3.51 ERA across his 5 appearances this season. That WHIP's not too shabby either. On the flip side, Atlanta's Bryce Elder isn't exactly lighting up the scoreboard, carrying a 4.82 ERA and 1.35 WHIP over 12 appearances.
Turning our attention to the heavy hitters, Philadelphia brings a solid lineup to the plate. Brandon Marsh and Nicholas Castellanos are both north of a .300 average and Alec Bohm and Kyle Schwarber are bringing in the runs. Atlanta's Ronald Acuna Jr. is on a hot streak for sure, batting a blistering .374. Yet, past Acuna Jr. it's a mixed bag. Matt Olson and Austin Riley are holding their own, but Marcell Ozuna is clearly not at his best.
Looking back, past match-ups have seen a bit of a back-and-forth between these two clubs, so historical data isn't much help. Hailing from the book of those who can't remember history, this match-up will be anything but predictable.
When it comes to the regular season records, Philly's looking quite peachy at 47-34, whereas Atlanta's had a bit of a rough ride, sitting at 37-43. Recent results aren't painting a rosy picture for either side, but a notable observation would be Philly's ability to keep games low scoring, which could be key as runs seem to be a scarce commodity for Atlanta of late.
Weighing these factors together - venue, pitchers, star players, historical match-ups, seasonal records and recent performance - it's prediction time. Get ready for this one, folks. Brace yourselves:
Albert’s Prediction: Philadelphia Phillies by 2